Today, we saw odds listed for both the SEC East and the BCS Championship for 2013. Below the fold, we’ll adjust those odds for you and provide some brief commentary.
SEC East Odds
| Team | Odds | Adj. |
| USC | +150 | 28.7% |
| UGA | +150 | 28.7% |
| UF | +300 | 18.0% |
| MIZ | +800 | 8.0% |
| UT | +1000 | 6.5% |
| VAND | +1200 | 5.5% |
| UK | +1500 | 4.5% |
These odds are surprisingly low at the bottom, but those at the top make sense. Carolina has the scheduling advantage in the SEC East this year, with a home-road split for Florida and Georgia and Arkansas and Mississippi State from the SEC West.
Florida has the worst of it, playing at LSU and also playing Carolina and Georgia road-neutral, which hurts their odds. Georgia gets the luck of the draw from the SEC East, with the Gamecocks at home and Florida in Jacksonville, but they also contend with a game in Athens against LSU.
I’m actually a little surprised not to see Georgia installed as the favorite, as two of their three major games occur in Athens, but the oddsmakers seem to like Carolina’s chances of getting through the division (and perhaps the tiebreakers) in good shape.
BCS Odds
| Team | Odds |
Adjusted |
|
Alabama
|
3/1
|
25.00% |
|
Ohio State
|
13/2
|
13.33% |
|
Oregon
|
7/1
|
12.50% |
|
Texas A&M
|
8/1
|
11.11% |
|
Georgia
|
16/1
|
5.88% |
|
Stanford
|
16/1
|
5.88% |
|
LSU
|
18/1
|
5.26% |
|
Florida
|
20/1
|
4.76% |
|
Louisville
|
22/1
|
4.35% |
|
Clemson
|
25/1
|
3.85% |
|
Florida State
|
28/1
|
3.45% |
|
Miami
|
28/1
|
3.45% |
|
Notre Dame
|
28/1
|
3.45% |
|
South Carolina
|
28/1
|
3.45% |
|
Michigan
|
33/1
|
2.94% |
|
Oklahoma State
|
33/1
|
2.94% |
|
Texas
|
33/1
|
2.94% |
|
Nebraska
|
50/1
|
1.96% |
|
Oklahoma
|
50/1
|
1.96% |
|
UCLA
|
50/1
|
1.96% |
|
USC
|
50/1
|
1.96% |
|
TCU
|
66/1
|
1.49% |
|
Wisconsin
|
66/1
|
1.49% |
|
Boise State
|
100/1
|
0.99% |
|
Michigan State
|
100/1
|
0.99% |
|
Oregon State
|
100/1
|
0.99% |
|
Mississippi
|
125/1
|
0.79% |
|
North Carolina
|
150/1
|
0.66% |
|
Northwestern
|
150/1
|
0.66% |
|
Virginia Tech
|
150/1
|
0.66% |
|
Washington
|
150/1
|
0.66% |
|
Auburn
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
BYU
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
California
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Cincinnati
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Georgia Tech
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Kansas State
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Mississippi State
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Pittsburgh
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Rutgers
|
200/1
|
0.50% |
|
Arizona
|
250/1
|
0.40% |
|
Arkansas
|
250/1
|
0.40% |
|
Iowa
|
250/1
|
0.40% |
|
Tennessee
|
250/1
|
0.40% |
|
Missouri
|
300/1
|
0.33% |
|
West Virginia
|
300/1
|
0.33% |
|
Boston College
|
500/1
|
0.20% |
|
South Florida
|
500/1
|
0.20% |
It should come as no surprise to see the Crimson Tide leading the list of favorites. Ohio State receives a boost from playing in a preposterously easy division this season, which should help it plow a path to the title game without playing anyone of difficulty (they will likely play only one top 25 team this season, the finale in Ann Arbor). Wisconsin is down, Penn State is ineligible, the non-conference schedule a joke, and the cross-division games a breeze. Thank God these guys weren’t eligible last year or we’d still be remembering an Ohio State v. Notre Dame BCS game.
You see South Carolina below Florida and Georgia here, primarily because Eric Hyman kindly left us a road game against UCF to go along with home games versus North Carolina and Clemson. While I’m not completely against moving up the schedule, these games serve no purpose for our football team except to decrease our chances of winning a championship. Hyman made a decision (i.e., going to UCF) that was penny wise and pound foolish, and we will look back at it with particular disdain if injuries suffered there (or, though somewhat unlikely, a loss) precludes us from obtaining other goals.
Otherwise, it’s interesting that the oddsmakers have only really found one favorite, and that there is a complete absence of Big XII teams in the discussion for the BCS Championship in 2013 (Oklahoma State chimes in first at 33/1). I think Oregon and Stanford have boosted odds given the weak nature of the Pac 12, and I think LSU is completely overvalued given they’d have to beat seven top 25 teams (v. TCU, the SECG, and the BCSCG; @ Georgia and Alabama; home to Florida and A&M) to have a chance, not to mention a few other SEC games that could give them fits.
Clemson is 25-1 primarily because some people failed to check their schedule and realize that they have to beat both Georgia and USC this year. Have fun with that, boys.
Any other interesting lines you see out there?
chickenhoops.wordpress.com 
After studying all the data and pondering all the information, I have reached the conclusion that Clemson sucks.